By: Hunter Schmidt
My name is Hunter Schmidt and I’m going to be producing sports betting content on Edge Sports Network. I started a college football podcast this fall called “CollegeCappers” and had some success with it, but life got busy post-graduation and I haven’t done much with it in the last two months. The podcast will be back next fall but I’m going to write 2-3 articles a week on here for now that will cover a wide variety of sports betting topics from daily picks, futures previews, etc. I appreciate Nick and Andrew giving me this opportunity and my goal is to provide you guys insight into sports from a gambling perspective which is becoming more and more popular throughout the United States.
Triple Threat Thursday
. . This is going to be a weekly column that I post on… you guessed it, Thursday. I’ll give out my three favorite gambling picks of the night with explanation of what numbers or trends have me leaning towards that side or total.
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky 7:30PM ET (+4.5 . . O/U 157)
Jacksonville State is the forgotten team in the Ohio Valley Conference because Murray State and Belmont have gathered so much name recognition over the last decade. Jacksonville State has won 9 out of their last 10 games with their only loss coming at West Virginia by two. The Gamecocks are 9-1 SU as a favorite this year while Eastern Kentucky comes in with a 3-9 record as the underdog. Eastern Kentucky is averaging almost 95 points per game this year at home, but the bad news for them is that Jacksonville State only gives up 70 points per game on 42% shooting. This Jacksonville State defense will force Eastern Kentucky into taking bad shots and they’ll get nowhere near that average. Jacksonville State will be able to take advantage of one of the worst defensive teams in the country in Eastern Kentucky. They give up almost 85 points per game on almost 48% shooting. Jacksonville State is 5-1-1 ATS in their last five road games, while EKU is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven Ohio Valley conference games. It’s hard to cover in conference road games, but Jacksonville State is a much better team, one that could upset Murray State or Belmont for the auto-bid in the Ohio Valley.
The Pick: Jacksonville State -4.5
UC-Santa Barbara @ Cal State-Fullerton 10PM ET (-1 . . O/U 139)
UCSB comes into this match-up winning 8 of their last 9 with a loss prior to that to probably the best team in the PAC-12 in Washington by four. They’re 10-5 ATS this year and they get it done on the defensive end. They’re only giving up 63 points a game while forcing opponents to shoot under 40% from the floor and 29% from three. Cal-State Fullerton comes into this match-up doing nothing well honestly. They’ve played a tough schedule but are 5-12 ATS. They’ve only covered 3 out of the last 10 games in this match-up and struggle in a lot of the fundamentals (defense, rebounding, shooting). UCSB is the better all-around team and should be the favorite here.
The Pick: UCSB +1
Samford @ Wofford 7PM ET (-12.5 . . O/U 146)
Eight of the last nine games in this series have gone over the closing total. The average combined scores in those nine games was 161 points. Both offenses are averaging almost eighty points per game so far this year with Samford averaging 78 and Wofford averaging 82. I expect a fast pace in this game with Wofford being at home. They are 7-2 towards the over at home this year averaging almost 90 points per game. These teams shoot a lot of threes and we’ve seen totals of 171, 182, 258 and 180 in this game over the last two years. We should have another barn burner on our hands with two teams that shoot above 38% from three and over 47% from the field.
The Pick: Wofford/Samford Over 146
“Life’s Too Short To Bet The Under” – @BarstoolBigCat
Thank you for reading! Best of luck.
Cover photo via: Randy Sartin – USA Today Sports
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